Many modern companies insist on the inclusion of restrictive covenants to limit the freedoms of employees upon the termination of their contracts. However, the High Court recently reinforced the stringent legal principles governing the enforceability of such restrictive covenants, suggesting that they often overstep.

A young man had been working as a salesperson for a UK subsidiary of an American company that sells made-to-measure suits and shirts manufactured in the USA. His original contract included restrictive covenants limited to 6 months. However, the contract was changed in 2022 to double the duration of the non-compete covenant to 12 months and remove the previous reliefs, significantly widening their scope. The employee asserted that he was not informed of these changes, and the claimant failed to produce any evidence to justify the widening of the scope of the limitations or the doubling of their duration.

The employee’s initial performance was strong, although following a conduct issue in January 2025, he was subjected to an addendum requiring humiliating and intrusive conditions, including weekly “counselling”, a ban from earned trips, and exclusion from leadership roles. The ex-employee had also raised product quality concerns, which he felt were ignored, and found the work culture ‘toxic’ and the disciplinary action both unfair and intrusive. As a consequence, he resigned in frustration in 2025, only to be subjected to an “insensitive, verging on brutal” retaliation. Within two days, the HR manager had cut off all IT access, threatened an investigation, and banned the defendant from the office. A day later, on Sunday, the claimant’s lawyers hand-delivered a threatening letter to the defendant’s home seeking to enforce a 12-month restrictive covenant. Moreover, there were claims that the defendant had breached his contractual duties, including running down his sales in the months prior to his resignation, and soliciting staff.

The High Court dismissed the claim for breach of contract and ruled that the 12-month restrictive covenant was unenforceable, as it far exceeded what was reasonably necessary to protect the claimant’s business. Moreover, the Court found the decline in performance to be stress-related and due to his inevitable demotivation.

This case reinforces the longstanding principle that courts will not uphold a covenant if it extends beyond what is strictly necessary to protect an employer’s legitimate business interests, which are typically delimited to confidential information and customer goodwill. The case serves as a warning in relation to the risks employers run when their conduct is perceived to be heavy-handed, humiliating, or toxic, particularly during disciplinary or exit procedures. HR departments should be wary of engaging in overtly humiliating or heavy-handed disciplinary rituals, as these may be viewed as a form of brutality.

Food and energy costs remain central concerns for households and businesses because they influence everything from wages to margins to day to day operating decisions. Inflation is easing compared to the volatility of the last few years, but the picture for the next twelve months is still mixed. Prices appear set to rise more slowly, yet neither category is likely to fall in any meaningful way.

Food price outlook

Food prices surged during the supply chain disruptions of 2021 to 2023 and were pushed higher again by wage pressures, transport costs and global shipping instability. Although the pace of increase has slowed during the past year, prices remain high. Many clients still question why food costs have not dropped as headline inflation falls. The reason is that the underlying conditions that drove those increases have not disappeared. Agriculture, food production, and distribution still face labour shortages, higher input costs, and ongoing uncertainty in global trade routes.

The most likely outcome for the coming year is a gradual easing in the rate of food inflation rather than a reduction in prices. Supermarkets report calmer supply chains and producers appear more willing to absorb cost pressures in order to protect sales volumes. Better harvests in some regions and lower freight costs should also help. These factors together should keep the next year more stable than the recent past.

Energy price outlook

Energy prices have been among the most unpredictable elements of the recent inflation cycle. While the extreme spikes have eased, the underlying global influences remain. The UK is particularly exposed because it relies heavily on imported gas and is tied to international pricing. Global gas markets continue to react to geopolitical tensions, shipping disruptions and variations in European storage levels. These variables explain why energy pricing still carries a degree of uncertainty.

However, the direction for next year looks a little steadier.

What this means for business planning

The next year is unlikely to bring substantial falls in food or energy prices, but the environment should feel less pressured. This increased stability provides an opportunity for better budgeting and more confident forecasting. Hospitality businesses and manufacturers may find it easier to plan pricing strategies, menus and supply arrangements. Broader stability also supports decisions on energy efficiency projects since assumptions about future savings appear more reliable.

As we look ahead to 2026, there is growing speculation about how the Bank of England will manage interest rates during what many economists believe will be a period of calmer inflation, steadier wage growth and a more predictable economic backdrop. After several years shaped by sharp price rises, supply chain shocks and policy responses that required rapid increases to the Bank Rate, the outlook for the coming year appears more settled and this is creating a sense that borrowing costs may edge downwards rather than upwards.

The current Bank Rate stands at around four per cent following a series of cuts through 2024 and 2025 as inflation eased gradually. Policymakers have indicated that they remain alert to any resurgence in inflationary pressure, yet they also recognise that the period of high inflation is now behind us. If this trend continues and inflation drifts closer to the Bank’s long term target, it will give the Monetary Policy Committee more room to make modest reductions during 2026. Many forecasters expect something in the region of a quarter to half a percentage point of cuts during the year, although the timing will depend heavily on the data released each quarter.

For households and businesses, this would create a slightly more comfortable lending environment. Mortgage borrowers on variable deals may feel some relief as repayments fall a little and businesses that rely on flexible credit facilities could find that their financing costs ease. Fixed mortgage rates may also become more attractive if lenders anticipate further gradual reductions. However, the broader economic impact is unlikely to be dramatic, since the Bank is not expected to deliver large or rapid cuts. The emphasis is more likely to remain on steady adjustments that avoid disrupting confidence or encouraging excessive borrowing.

It is worth noting that a full return to the ultra-low interest rate environment seen before the pandemic is not expected. Structural changes in the UK economy, global supply conditions and the government’s fiscal position all point towards a future in which interest rates remain higher than the levels seen in the decade prior to 2020. Even so, a move towards slightly lower borrowing costs in 2026 would be consistent with a maturing recovery and a gradual balancing of supply and demand across the economy.

Overall, the most probable outcome for 2026 is a measured reduction in interest rates that supports economic stability without risking a renewed surge in inflation.

The chancellor Rachel Reeves announced as part of the Autumn Budget measures that the Income Tax thresholds will be maintained at their current levels for a further three years until April 2031. This will see the personal tax allowance frozen at £12,570 through to April 2031 across the UK. In addition, the higher rate threshold will remain at £50,270 (there are differences in Scotland). National Insurance thresholds will also remain frozen until 2031.

This means that more taxpayers will be pushed into paying higher taxes as income increases at a far faster rate than the frozen tax bands. This phenomenon is known as fiscal drag. The freezing of most of the Income Tax allowance and rates at current levels until 2031 means that many taxpayers will pay more Income Tax as their income increases with no corresponding increases in their allowances and more taxpayers will see their taxable income boosted into the 40%, or 45%, Income Tax bands.

The existing thresholds for the basic rate, higher rates and additional rates of tax have also been frozen where income is derived from employment or self-employment. However, the government will create separate tax rates for property, savings & dividend income.

• Tax on most dividend income will increase by 2% from April 2026. The ordinary rate will rise from 8.75% to 10.75%, and the upper rate from 33.75% to 35.75%. The additional rate will remain unchanged at 39.35%.

The changes to the tax rates for property and savings income will take effect from April 2027.

• From 2027-28, the property basic rate will be 22%, the property higher rate will be 42%, and the property additional rate will be 47%. These rates will apply across England, Wales and Northern Ireland.
• From 2027-28, the savings basic rate will be increased to 22%, the savings higher rate will be increased to 42% and the savings additional rate will be increased to 47%.

The current rules that allow Basic Rate taxpayers to receive £1,000 of interest without paying tax, and Higher Rate taxpayers to receive £500 without paying tax are set to remain as is the Starting Rate for Savings of up to £5,000 for lower earners.

The Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves announced increases to the Minimum Wage rates on the eve of the Budget. The Chancellor confirmed that the government has accepted in full the proposals of the Low Pay Commission (LPC) for increasing minimum wage rates from 1 April 2026.

The National Living Wage (NLW) rate will increase from £12.21 to £12.71 on 1 April 2026 and represents an increase of 50p or 4.1%. The NLW is the minimum hourly rate that must be paid to those aged 21 or over. The increase represents a pay rise of £900 a year for someone working full-time and earning the NLW.

It was also announced that the National Minimum Wage (NMW) – for 18-20 year olds – will increase from £10.00 to £10.85 an hour. This is an 8.5% increase and will see younger workers having their pay boosted by up to £1,500 next year. This increase is part of moves to narrow the gap in wage rates for 18-20 years olds and the NLW and ultimately create a single adult wage rate for all those aged 18 and up.

The NMW rates for 16 to 17 years old will increase from £7.55 to £8.00 – an increase of 45p or 6% per hour – from next April. The Apprentice Rate will mirror this increase in line with earlier recommendations by the LPC.

At the Budget, the government also announced two new measures aimed at supporting young people’s employment and skills development.

1. The Youth Guarantee: Jobs Guarantee Scheme will provide a six-month paid work placement for eligible 18-21 year group, who have been on Universal Credit and searching for work for at least 18 months. This scheme will cover 100% of employment costs for 25 hours a week at the minimum wage, alongside other support measures.
2. The Youth Guarantee and Growth and Skills Levy will allocate more than £1.5 billion over the spending review period to improve employment and skills support. This funding will help ensure that young people have access to high-quality training opportunities and streamline the apprenticeship system to make it more efficient.